Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (2026) grosses more than $206,136,825 in worldwide box office, and NO if it fails to exceed that amount.

• Primary Source: The lifetime worldwide gross listed on the Box Office Mojo page for Supergirl (2026).

• Secondary Source: If Box Office Mojo is unavailable or fails to report a final total, the lifetime worldwide gross on The Numbers will be used as a backup.

• Timing: The market can resolve to YES as soon as official tracking shows the movie has crossed the $206,136,825 threshold. If the film finishes its theatrical run without crossing this threshold, it will resolve to NO once final box office figures are finalized.

Background

Directed by Craig Gillespie and starring Milly Alcock as Kara Zor-El, Supergirl: Woman of Tomorrow (2026) is the second theatrical installment in James Gunn and Peter Safran's rebooted DC Universe (DCU).

The benchmark to beat is The Marvels (2023), which concluded its theatrical run with a worldwide total of $206,136,825, making it the lowest-grossing film in the history of the Marvel Cinematic Universe (MCU). This prediction market evaluates whether the new DCU's second film can surpass the box office performance of Marvel's lowest-performing theatrical release.

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