🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ29 | |
2 | Ṁ27 | |
3 | Ṁ23 | |
4 | Ṁ19 | |
5 | Ṁ15 |
It is very likely that President Petro remains in power by the end of 2023. Considering this is a political matter it is important to interpret the statistics with the contextual information. Otherwise, inaccurate predicitions could be done.
It is true that the popularity of President Petro has dropped from almost 60% of the population to less than 35% of approval (https://english.elpais.com/international/2023-06-29/colombia-tires-of-government-of-change-in-just-one-year-61-disapprove-of-petro.html).
A year after his election, the regional elections led to changing the ideology of the supporters considering that the principal cities elected right wing candidates. From the 32 states, only 2 elected supporters of Petro. This is means that 93% of the country supports the right wind. This sets pressure to several of Petro's initiatives (https://apnews.com/article/colombia-regional-elections-leftist-president-6a236eb5b8aa604807c7f06ad85d237d and https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/4/rude-awakening-elections-seen-as-rebuke-to-colombias-gustavo-petro).
Based on Colombia's state structure, its institutions can be considered to be strong enought to support the sttrugles that the current President is experience until the end of his term. Even if it is prohibited for the Army to take political positions, that a risk that needs to be considered because that could represent a source for an eventual coup d' etat.
In the history of presidents in Colombia who have retired before the end of their term are very few, only Rafael Núñez (1880-1882): Rafael Núñez was president in three non-consecutive terms, but in his third term (1880-1882), he retired before the end of his term due to health reasons.
Now according to (BBC news,2023) in 12 months Petro made 21 trips abroad and changed 12 of his 19 ministers. He removed half a hundred Army generals and the director of the Police. He was promoted three marches. He denounced a "soft coup", confronted the Prosecutor and the Attorney General, and published 40 tweets criticizing the media, without leaving aside the number of times he changed his agenda due to health problems.
In my opinion we are in October this third quarter of 2023 is little time for an attack or conflict to happen that will lead him to leave the mandate who knows later because Colombia has 3 more years of struggles and news of the current president.