Will Gustavo Petro still be president of Colombia by end of 2023?
10
146
210
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
YES

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ29
2Ṁ27
3Ṁ23
4Ṁ19
5Ṁ15
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 of YES

It is very likely that President Petro remains in power by the end of 2023. Considering this is a political matter it is important to interpret the statistics with the contextual information. Otherwise, inaccurate predicitions could be done.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

In the history of presidents in Colombia who have retired before the end of their term are very few, only Rafael Núñez (1880-1882): Rafael Núñez was president in three non-consecutive terms, but in his third term (1880-1882), he retired before the end of his term due to health reasons.

Now according to (BBC news,2023) in 12 months Petro made 21 trips abroad and changed 12 of his 19 ministers. He removed half a hundred Army generals and the director of the Police. He was promoted three marches. He denounced a "soft coup", confronted the Prosecutor and the Attorney General, and published 40 tweets criticizing the media, without leaving aside the number of times he changed his agenda due to health problems.

In my opinion we are in October this third quarter of 2023 is little time for an attack or conflict to happen that will lead him to leave the mandate who knows later because Colombia has 3 more years of struggles and news of the current president.