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MANIFOLD
If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading?
0
Ṁ100
2027
50%
chance

Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements. If after reading their financials I believe any ARR numbers they claimed seem suspicions or misleading. An example of a clear case that could show this would be if they claimed $20b ARR at the start of 2026 but their 2026 financials show only $15B of revenue.

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