If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading?
0
Ṁ1002027
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements. If after reading their financials I believe any ARR numbers they claimed seem suspicions or misleading. An example of a clear case that could show this would be if they claimed $20b ARR at the start of 2026 but their 2026 financials show only $15B of revenue.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI go public in 2026?
19% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
98% chance
Will OpenAI make a profit in 2025?
3% chance
OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
OpenAI IPO before 2028?
68% chance
Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?
28% chance
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of April Fools 2027?
44% chance
OpenAI IPO before 2029?
93% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
98% chance
How much revenue will OpenAI earn in 2026?