Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by the end of 2030?

Question

Resolves YES if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the series A Song Of Ice And Fire is released by end of 2030, and is authored by George R. R. Martin.

(Identical market to: source market)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 67% chance (0 traders, as of Aug 1, 2026).

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