Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

Question

Gukesh won the 2024 World Chess Championship. Will he manage to defend his title?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026

(Identical market to: source market)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 32% chance (3 traders, as of Aug 3, 2026).

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