
If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
2
Ṁ100Ṁ162030
45%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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ALL
Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China
Resolves No otherwise
Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan
"Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force.
If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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