[ACX 2026] Will the S&P 500 close above 7,500 at the end of 2026?

Question

(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41130)
Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.

Metaculus high-level description:
This question will resolve as Yes if the value of the S&P 500 index is greater than 7,500 at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.

(Identical market to: source market)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 78% chance (9 traders, as of Oct 15, 2026).

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