Will there be a Blackout in large parts of Europe during the Winter 2022/2023?
13
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resolved Mar 31
Resolved
NO

A blackout is understood to be a sudden supra-regional power and infrastructure and supply failure that covers large parts of Europe and lasts for a longer period (> 12 hours). The decisive factor is that the other infrastructures are also affected and help from "outside" cannot be expected. Everything that has not been prepared and provided for on site will not be available. Moreover, the power outage is only the starting point for longer-term supply interruptions/bottlenecks.

Definition Blackout translated and modified from: https://www.saurugg.net/blackout

Open for comments and thoughts on how to resolve the market in case of some large-scale power failure or another relevant incident.

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predicted YES

I just want to say that resolving this YES will destroy manifold. Karen's will take over because ukraine counts as europe all the question definitions will be litigated into the ground.

As I am the only YES, I ask to resolve NO.

This is guaranteed. Capitalism will collapse by 2026.

@MarkIngraham did you even read the question? It's about this winter, so it did not happen.

predicted YES

@ValeryCherepanov also ukraine is part of Europe which makes the question absurd

bought Ṁ39 of NO

@MarkIngraham I don't think that the links you provided are enough to resolve as YES. They are local blackouts, so they do not satisfy the "supra-regional" condition. About Ukraine: good point, I am still not sure if it's enough to qualify but I wouldn't find it too unreasonable.

predicted YES

@ValeryCherepanov obviously nations have separate power grids and separate blackouts, that renders the question meaningless. The richest cities in Europe suffered hours long blackouts (possibly 12h, contradictory claims) in 2022.

predicted YES

@ValeryCherepanov https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=KwJzQwSL9h0

Here's a video of the Paris blackout in the early morning which would extend it to 8h, it could easily be 12h.

predicted YES

@MarkIngraham I'm fine with closing the question, I'm just saying it's a stupid question. The duration of the blackout is irrelevant, you could black for an hour and kill tons of people.