When will @iris_IGB provide an update on "ZERO R TRANSITION DETECTED"
28
521
1.3k
resolved Aug 21
100%93%
Not before Monday, Aug 21, 2023
0.4%
Monday, Aug 14, 2023
0.3%
Tuesday, Aug 15, 2023
0.3%
Wednesday, Aug 16, 2023
0.3%
Thursday, Aug 17, 2023
0.6%
Friday, Aug 18, 2023
0.6%
Saturday, Aug 19, 2023
5%
Sunday, Aug 20, 2023

See the following post:

"YES, ZERO R TRANSITION DETECTED Update on Monday most likely." / X

When will Iris provide an update that includes any one of the following:

  1. Instrument data showing zero resistivity (graph or raw data)

  2. A photo or video showing zero resistivity

  3. A paper describing zero resistivity

The date of the post (UTC) will be used to resolve this question. Will resolve to "Not before Monday, Aug 21, 2023" if no update has been provided before Monday, Aug 21, 2023.

It's important to note: this market makes no claims about the accuracy or veracity of Iris' claims. An update with incorrect, fake, or unsubstantiated data still counts as an update.

Insider trading welcome (free mana for you Iris), make this market accurate!

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Just occurred to me that Iris said it would publish results on Monday but didn't specify which Monday xD

bought Ṁ40 of Sunday, Aug 20, 2023 YES
bought Ṁ20 of Friday, Aug 18, 2023 NO

@HenryE The reason I am no here is that zero R is earth shattering even at 0C. Why not just publish that data? Why keep messing around claiming better results but not actually showing the only thing that matters

@QuantumObserver it's looking less and less likely each day that they will post on Twitter or arxiv. In some ways it's understandable, no matter what Iris posts online people will try to tear it to shreds or generate more attention than she wants to deal with. But at the same time they can't help but post tantalizing troll posts about successful experiments and the failures of others.

So a "it was a fluke, sorry" update won't resolve this, right?

@MartinModrak that's right, that sort of post would not resolve this question.