Will I make USAJMO in 2027?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ3882027
51%
chance
4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I got an 8 on AIME II, 115.5 on AMC 10A this year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
why is this trading so high?!???! as someone who had the same score in the past it’s very difficult to improve by that much. the index for qualification in jmo is at least a 11 on aime and a 140 on amc, expected to be even higher due to rising cheating.
i would value this at much closer to 20%, not 60!
@bobalobascrob this is an index of 195.5 using the old metric from before last year, when the JMO cutoff was 234. That represents the top ~1500 students 10th grade and under... USAJMO takes the top 300. not being pessimistic but this market is way too overvalued.