Background: On my way to work, a car suddenly pulled into the street right in front of me while i was going ~20mph on my electric longboard. I guess they just didn't see me.
I hit the brakes hard and lost control. My board went left and I went right. I landed on my shoulder and rolled a bit. Thankfully I was wearing a helmet as well as a motorcycle jacket that had padding and prevented scrapes.
Now I am typing this all with my left hand b/c my right arm is in a sling 😭
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Recovery from the surgery went well -- I'm no longer wearing a sling!
Just went to get a haircut and longboarded there haha, resolving this market.
I want to use the board less than before and be more careful / go slower when riding.
Still thinking about alternatives as well! Perhaps it would be safer to get a bike.
@JamesGrugett Great it went well.
That said, not really a fan of you buying 10k shares right before you self-resolve it to give yourself some guaranteed profit; especially since it’s not public information.
Doesn’t sound fair.
@ben prediction markets are a mechanism for paying people to tell you the truth, the more truthful of an answer you get, the less of an opportunity there is to make money before resolution, so the more you’ve paid for the answer. Where does the money in the pool
come from?
Where does the money in the pool come from?
Some of it comes from the market creator, some of it gets added for each unique trader
Ok, I actually would like you all's input here.
Saw the orthopedist today, and he said my case is ambiguous on whether I should have the surgery.
He said I would heal fine either way. But leaving it to heal has some chance of it healing with the bones not in the best place (like one slightly on top of the other, shortening it), which could make me weaker in that arm. Surgery would be less risky in that it would be set correctly, and I'd also heal faster: 2 weeks after the surgery. However, there are very rare complications for surgery.
When I asked him if he would do it if in my place, he first said it was a tough call, but then that he would do it because I'm relatively young and want to be active.
Any thoughts @AntonMakiievskyi or @dreev or anyone else on whether to do the surgery?
@JamesGrugett Both risks seem low to me -- surgery complications and the bone healing too weirdly on its own -- so probably not crazy to make either choice. But I'd do it.
@JamesGrugett I was presented with the same choice and went ahead with the surgery. Surgery was fast and easy and I was home 2 days after. The speed of recovery, and the fact that you don’t need to worry about displacing it, once it's fixed with the plate, were my main sticking points. They also gave me morphine for a day or two after the surgery, which was a nice bonus haha :) Would do it agan (surgery, I mean)
Oh no! Is it just fractured or broken all the way through? Like does your shoulder hang down weirdly or is everything visibly normal? If the latter there's nothing you need to do other than keep it immobile, since it hurts like heck otherwise. It can heal in as little as two weeks, I think. If your collarbone is literally in pieces then presumably they'll screw a plate on it so it heals in the right shape. Apparently there's a recommended 3-week window for doing that. When I did this to myself I stretched it to like a month because it was right before I defended my PhD thesis. 😬 Also I skated to the surgery.
@dreev Haha, thanks for your comment!
It snapped in half, but there's no visible difference, except I think it could be poking up weirdly? I do hope it heals quickly and correctly! Will see what the orthopedist says on Monday.
Cool story about you skating to surgery!
@JamesGrugett I broke a collarbone once. If you put a titanium plate to fix it: you are ready to do ~whatever in 2-3 weeks. If you dont - you'll have to wear sling for 2 months and not move your hand at all. Putting a plate inside can be postponed for a week or two, but not for a month. So talking to a doctor is a good idea