What will be my pace if I complete the San Francisco Half-Marathon?
12
10kṀ13kJul 28
9.28 minutes/mile
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
90%
Above 8
84%
Above 8.5
80%
Above 9
70%
Above 9.5
33%
Above 10
18%
Above 11
16%
Above 12
My roommates roped me into running the SF half-marathon. The most I've run at one time is about 5 miles.
The race is in 9 weeks. I'll try to do the recommended training for the most part. Today I ran 3.77 miles in 45 minutes, which is kinda slow (~12:00/mi).
Market is inspired by Austin's: https://manifold.markets/rachel/will-austin-finish-his-half-maratho
His pace is so good, it would be a miracle if I could beat it.
Update 2025-06-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that if they do not complete the run, the market will resolve to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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