Where did we drop the ball? The point of this isn't to point fingers or assign blame, but rather to identify where our processes and strategy are not serving us well.
I will resolve the market to a rough approximation of what I think actually didn't go well. Place your bets!
Last time: https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/manifold-team-march-retro-what-coul
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Didn't realize the meeting time changed, sad to have missed this one! One thing I would have brought up is that number of comments are trending down:
The site is better when people are talking to each other! It keeps people coming back every day to continue the conversation, and it inspires new market creation and betting when people find disagreement.
Our comments are one of our main advantages against real money markets!
It's hard to notice when number of comments per day slowly decreases, particularly when this graph is a bit buried in the stats page. I think we could have done better in noticing this and trying to counteract it.
IIRC there was at some point an idea to have a daily quest to leave a comment, did that ever get tested? Now might be a good time.
one of the most important/underrated skill in startups is choosing what not to build.
the truth is that the product they wanted is not the one we had, and they could execute much faster than us by building their own thing exactly good for their use case. we need to give up on thousands of dollars to be able to get millions.
@Sinclair yeah I don't think it matters that much right now either. Will double down on it once sweepstakes actually launch (and leading up to build hype).
@GazDownright Yes, and new answers are welcome!
This is mostly an exercise for the Manifold Team, and it will be resolved soon according to my own subjective judgment.