Joe Biden is still president at the end of 2022
139
203Ṁ9336
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
YES
#MattYglesias2022 One of Matt Yglesias' predictions for 2022: https://www.slowboring.com/p/predictions-are-hard #Politics #Democrats #President #2022
Market context
Politics
US Politics
2022 Matt Yglesias Predictions
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predictedNO
I think Biden may resign before the end of his term to make Kamala a more attractive candidate by making her the sitting president during the 2024 election.
predictedNO

@BruceGrugett Not in a million years :

Death is the main reason I can think of, and actuarial tables have it at a 5% chance for a 79 year old. Given that he's the president, I think that chance is even lower.
@marthinwurer It's higher than the average person. 4 presidents were murdered.
Does this market settles as YES if Kamala is President in exercise if Biden is uncapable for whatever reason?
predictedYES
@MP it feels against intent to resolve YES over a temporary transfer like for a colonoscopy
predictedYES
I hope Biden doesn't schedule a colonoscopy for New Year's Eve.
I think the Dems will throw Biden under the bus. Obama didn't want to acknowledge Biden when he was at the White House last week.

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