Will a human step foot on Mars by 2035?
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41%
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This market resolves YES if on or before Jan 1st, 2036, a human has set foot on the Martian surface.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I doubt that will affect the result
There's a market for that (now): https://manifold.markets/percentage/will-the-first-human-step-foot-on-m
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