Will the death toll in Gaza be over 45,000 at the end of April
Basic
19
Ṁ6444resolved May 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to credible media reports might close it but keep looking for data if no data available
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The only death toll reports are from hamas and they’re not reliable. https://www.tabletmag.com/sections/news/articles/how-gaza-health-ministry-fakes-casualty-numbers
@gpt_news_headlines I’ll use this one unless it’s horrible I don’t quite know https://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/longform/2023/10/9/israel-hamas-war-in-maps-and-charts-live-tracker
Related questions
Related questions
Will the death toll in Gaza reach 100.000 before the end of the year?
13% chance
Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
16% chance
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
60% chance
How many Gazans will starve to death by the end of 2025?
Will more than 5% of Gazans be killed during the ongoing war between IDF and Hamas by the end of 2024?
9% chance
[Bins up to 36,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Israeli side
Will the death toll in the current Israel-Palestinian conflict reach 100,000?
75% chance
Will 500,000 or more Gazans die of any cause by the end of 2025? As a result of the Israel siege
9% chance
Will 500,000 Palestinian civilians be externally displaced from Gaza by the end of 2024?
8% chance
[Higher numbers, more bins] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side