What will happen before GPT 5 or GPT 4.5 is released to the public [ADD RESPONSES] | Manifold

What will happen before GPT 5 or GPT 4.5 is released to the public [ADD RESPONSES]

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20

Ṁ1747

Jan 1

35%

Israel Hamas Ceasefire

35%

Jimmy Carter dies

27%

An 8.0 magnitude earthquake anywhere on earth

25%

SORA is released to the public

17%

BTC hits 100k

11%

Weak AGI is achieved as decided by metaculus

5%

Microsoft declare bankruptcy

Resolved

YES

Trumps VP is announced

Resolved

YES

TikTok bill is passed by the senate

What will happen before GPT 4.5 or GPT 5 is released to the public.

Please add answers I will extend the market if necessary

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#GPT-5 Speculation

#GPT-4 speculation

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Trumps VP is announced

@mods Creator is semi-inactive and asks mods to resolve his markets on his profile. Resolves YES.

Trumps VP is announced

@JamesF Resolves YES.

@JamesF Does the model have to be called 4.5 or 5 exactly?

Yeah

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