Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sean Carroll's Mindscape podcast in 2023?
21
87
Ṁ2.1KṀ410
Dec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ149 +1394.7%
New probability
7% +1.0%
Background: Eliezer tweeted
> Also do you possibly want to record a conversation about this instead of trying to do it in 280 characters?
https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1641107127266844672
Moreover, Eliezer recently appeared on the Bankless podcast, as well as the Lex Fridman podcast.
Will resolve NO if an episode is recorded but not published in 2023. However, such an episode being published behind a paywall (e.g. patreon) in 2023 is sufficient for a YES resolution.
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky write a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" by the end of 2023?
S G
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up? (2024 version)
GeorgeVii
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Joshua 🦚
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly praise any action or statement by OpenAI by 2023-12-18?
Evan
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the Conversations with Tyler podcast by the end of 2023?
Tripping
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky tweet the word "rationalussy" on December 31, 2023?
Plasma Ballin'
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Destiny have another in-depth discussion before the end of 2024?
Isaac King
Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky?
Arete
Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky, writing alone?
JiSK
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?
journcy
Will Grimes follow Julian Hazell on Twitter before Eliezer Yudkowsky does?
Rodeo
Would Eliezer Yudkowsky Press a Button that Ensured a 95% Probability of Doom?
1832489723645
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast by the end of 2024?
Tripping
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be interviewed on Joe Rogan's podcast by the end of 2023?
_au_
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be a guest on the 80000 hours podcast in 2023?
harfe
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky (@ESYudkowsky) follow me (@mealreplacer) on Twitter before the end of 2023?
Julian
Sort by:
For those who think Alignment is an issue, here's a market which uses an engineering benchmark to measure one dimension of alignment:
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky write a tweet containing the word "rationalussy" by the end of 2023?
S G
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up? (2024 version)
GeorgeVii
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Joshua 🦚
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky publicly praise any action or statement by OpenAI by 2023-12-18?
Evan
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the Conversations with Tyler podcast by the end of 2023?
Tripping
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky tweet the word "rationalussy" on December 31, 2023?
Plasma Ballin'
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky and Destiny have another in-depth discussion before the end of 2024?
Isaac King
Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky?
Arete
Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky, writing alone?
JiSK
Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?
journcy
Will Grimes follow Julian Hazell on Twitter before Eliezer Yudkowsky does?
Rodeo
Would Eliezer Yudkowsky Press a Button that Ensured a 95% Probability of Doom?
1832489723645
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Joe Rogan Experience podcast by the end of 2024?
Tripping
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be interviewed on Joe Rogan's podcast by the end of 2023?
_au_
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be a guest on the 80000 hours podcast in 2023?
harfe
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky (@ESYudkowsky) follow me (@mealreplacer) on Twitter before the end of 2023?
Julian
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on The Ezra Klein Show podcast by the end of 2024?
Tripping
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?
Tripping
Will Lex Fridman have Eliezer Yudkowsky back on his podcast for a part 2 before the start of 2025?
Waseem Tesqie
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky go on the Mindscape podcast by the end of 2024?
Tripping