Bluesky's daily active users exceed 25% of X's daily active users by June 2025
Basic
5
Ṁ215Jun 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Bluesky's daily active users reach at least 25% of X's daily active user count by June 1st, 2025? Currently Bluesky's daily active users are less than 10% of X's. Resolution based on comparative statistics from reliable tech industry sources.
Update 2024-12-12 (PST): The market will be resolved based on global user counts rather than US-only user counts for both Bluesky and X. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@traders, is it ok if I modify the question from “US users” to “users”? I think it will make it easier to resolve.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
52% chance
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
When will Bluesky reach 100 million users?
Will Bluesky have 36 million or more users at the end of 2025?
77% chance
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
13% chance
Will BlueSky overtake X in active users before June 1st 2025
4% chance
Manifold Monthly Active users at end of 2025
Will Manifold Reach X number of Monthly Active Users in 2025?
Will BlueSky have over 10 million users by the end of 2027?
97% chance
Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030
26% chance