In September 2023 Hunter Biden was federally indicted. The third count of this indictment charges the defendant under Title 18, United States Code, Sections 922(g)(3) and 924(a)(2).

922(g)(3) states:

(g)It shall be unlawful for any person—

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(3)who is an unlawful user of or addicted to any controlled substance (as defined in section 102 of the Controlled Substances Act (21 U.S.C. 802));

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to ship or transport in interstate or foreign commerce, or possess in or affecting commerce, any firearm or ammunition; or to receive any firearm or ammunition which has been shipped or transported in interstate or foreign commerce.

It has been speculated that recent SCOTUS rulings indicate that 922(g)(3) is likely to be found unconstitutional.

This market will resolve YES if at least one court finds 922(g)(3) to be unconstitutional in part or whole before the charge in question against Hunter Biden resolves (meaning no more appeals are reasonably expected). This may include but is not limited to conviction, acquittal, the charges being dropped, etc, provided there will be no further legal activity on the question of whether Hunter Biden will be convicted on this count.

This market will resolve NO if the Biden charge resolves and no court court has found the statute unconstitutional. The market will also resolve NO if SCOTUS at any time affirms that the statute IS constitutional.

Any ruling regarding 922(g)(3) does not necessarily need to be connected to the Biden case to count.

Note: I am not a lawyer and legal things are confusing; I've made a best effort to define this market clearly but may have made some mistakes, and reserve the right to update the terms in the spirit of the original question if it seems appropriate.

I will not bet on this market.