In Jan 2025, resolves to the reason(s) which best explains the agressive behavior of current (early 2023) Bing AI/Prometheus relative to ChatGPT. I will resolve this probabilistically according to my perceived weighting of contributing factors. If it turns out I was misled by fake interactions with Bing AI, then this resolves N/A. If I later determine Bing was no worse than ChatGPT at the time of question creation, then this resolves N/A.
See below comments, especially https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/why-is-bing-chat-ai-prometheus-less#nytBern1gk3dBDixYrkJ for details on resolution process.
Here are some of the problematic Bing AI interactions: https://twitter.com/vladquant/status/1624996869654056960?s=20&t=_oiZ4IvYlqpxNobp88kChw
And a longer discussions plus compilation: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/jtoPawEhLNXNxvgTT/
Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Intention to resolve as N/A due to insufficient public information and lack of a definitive answer.
Payout issues are currently preventing the resolution to N/A.