Resolution will be based off my subjective judgement of the quality of accessible models by each group. Any model I can access will qualify as accessible. Other models (e.g. a Chinese citizen restricted model) will qualify only if I can get a reliable sense of their capabilities.

The models to be considered are likely to primarily focus on chat models, but if e.g. one company develops a personal assistant agent AI which I perceive as closer to AGI than any chat model, I would resolve to that company.

If two listed entities merge I will resolve to both weighted by the relative valuation of each at time of merger. If one is acquired by the other, I will resolve to the entity which did the acquiring.

I will be generous in adding options until EOY 2024, after which I will cease to add options. Feel free to suggest answers.