Who will win kave and Garrett's bet on critical periods in neural networks?
7
173
570
resolved Nov 10
100%98%
kave
2%
Garrett Baker
0.4%
Other

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/e8r8Tx3Hk7LpnrMwY/a-bet-on-critical-periods-in-neural-networks

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kave wins

Update:

I'm currently not finding much evidence of any phase change for the 64 batch

There is a stark decrease on 400, but I don't know if that would stick around if I increased the epoch to 800. 

To speed things up I also reconfigured how training works, so now I'm verifying we still get a phase transition with the 128 batch size. Then after that I think I'm going to increase the batch size instead of decreasing it, to make the results come in quicker. Because the above plot took 9 hours of training to make.

Henceforth I will no longer bet on the market

bought Ṁ20 of Garrett Baker YES

Betting heavily on myself here not due to epistemology, but to subsidize people to bet differently from me, so I can hear their arguments.