How many total traders will have participated in Mr Magnolia's "LessWrong non-drama karma" question, by closing time?

103

Ṁ4K

Ṁ753

resolved Nov 1

ALL

Resolved

YES

10-20

Resolved

YES

0-10

Resolved

30-50

Resolved

50+

Resolved

20-30

Resolution will be based on the value as written in the little UI icon called traders, at the top of the page, right next to the measures of trading volume and subsidy pool; after the market has been closed on Nov 2, 2023.

Here's the base question: https://manifold.markets/MrMagnolia/total-nondrama-lesswrong-karma-for

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ258
2		Ṁ99
3		Ṁ97
4		Ṁ27
5		Ṁ2

7 Comments

8 Holders

84 Trades

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bought Ṁ50 of 30-50 NO

@JacobJacob This can resolve.

What happens if it's on a boundary?

@MrMagnolia oh dear i was a fool...

bought Ṁ100 of 10-20 YES

@DanielFilan Same

bought Ṁ10 of 50+ NO

I think you chose the wrong market type, where these are separate yes-no questions, since these don't add up to 100%

@DanielFilan

@DanielFilan It's the market type that allows me to add more answers later, and then choose multiple winning answers (in order to allow me some flexibility should I realise that the buckets I picked weren't the right granularity, or covered a too small part of the relevant range)