Will there be a ceasefire for at least a month in the Israel-Hamas conflict before 1 Jan 2025?
7
17
Ṁ80Ṁ220
2025
51%
chance
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1M
ALL
Resolves to mainstream news consensus. Ceasefire must be between Israel and Hamas, continued fighting with Hezbollah or other paramilitaries/nations doesn’t count as breaking of the ceasefire. The ceasefire is broken if there is fighting again between Israel and Hamas in the form of shots fired.
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