Will democrats win Miami-Dade county in any 2026 Florida Statewide race?
1
Ṁ1kṀ30Nov 4
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Miami dade has shifted significantly towards republicans in recent times.
Hillary won it by 29.39% in 2016
Biden won it by 7.33% points in 2020
Trump won it by 11.45% in 2024
A 40 point swing to republicans in 8 years!
Resolves yes if democrats win Miami-dade county in at least one of:
Senate special election
Governor election
Attorney General election
CFO election
Commissioner of agriculture election
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
49% chance
Which Party will win the 2026 Florida Gubernatorial election?
Will Democrats win the 2026 Florida Special Senate Election?
10% chance
Will a Republican win the Florida governorship in 2026?
82% chance
Democrats win the 2026 Special Election for Senate in Florida?
9% chance
Will a Republican win the US Senate special election in Florida in 2026?
90% chance
Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Florida by the end of 2030?
57% chance
Will Democrats win back the House in 2026 ?
90% chance
Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
88% chance