Will Bill Cassidy make the runoff of the Louisiana Republican Primary for Senate?

Question

Resolves YES if Bill Cassidy finishes top 2 in the Louisiana Republican primary. For the purpose of this market, if bill cassidy wins 50.00%+ in the first round, avoiding the need for a runoff, this market will still resolve yes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Louisiana

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 57% chance (4 traders, as of Mar 15, 2026).

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