Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Who will make the runoff in the Louisiana Republican Senate Primary on May 16?
14
Ṁ1kṀ12k
resolved May 17
Resolved
YES
John Fleming
Resolved
YES
Julia Letlow
Resolved
NO
Bill Cassidy

Resolves YES to the 2 people who make the runoff for the Republican senate primary in Louisiana. If someone wins outright in round 1 (gets over 50%) then it will resolve yes to that 1 person only.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_election_in_Louisiana

Market context
Elections
2026 US Congressional Elections
2028 US Presidential Election
Democratic Party
U.S. Congress
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ865
2Ṁ131
3Ṁ8
4Ṁ3
5Ṁ3

People are also trading

Sort by:
reposted

Election today. Incumbent bill cassidy is unlikely to make the runoff, do you agree with the market?

opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 80% order

20 mana to the first 10 traders who place at least one trade and comment below!

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Jack1 traded!

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 77% order

@Jack1 Done

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Jack1 done

bought Ṁ3 YES

@Jack1 done

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Jack1 done

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Jack1 done

opened a Ṁ2,000 YES at 93% order

I’ve put some big limit orders up!

People are also trading