Resolves yes if the country wins any game at the fifa World Cup. Resolves no if they do not win any game. Update 2026-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A win on penalties counts as winning a game for resolution purposes, even if the match is considered a draw for international ranking purposes.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Cape Verde is most likely. See the market for live updates (49 traders, as of Jul 4, 2026).

Which countries will win a game at the FIFA World Cup?

MANIFOLD

Which countries will win a game at the FIFA World Cup?

Ṁ4.8kṀ58k

Jul 19

Resolved

YES

Mexíco

Resolved

YES

Croatia

Resolved

YES

Spain

Resolved

YES

France

Resolved

YES

Sweden

Resolved

YES

Brazil

Resolved

YES

England

Resolved

YES

Argentina

Resolved

YES

Germany

Resolved

YES

Portugal

Resolved

YES

Belgium

Resolved

YES

Netherlands

Resolved

YES

Colombia

Resolved

YES

Switzerland

Resolved

YES

Norway

Resolved

YES

USA

Resolved

YES

Ecuador

Resolved

YES

Morocco

Resolved

YES

Türkiye

Resolves yes if the country wins any game at the fifa World Cup. Resolves no if they do not win any game.

Update 2026-06-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A win on penalties counts as winning a game for resolution purposes, even if the match is considered a draw for international ranking purposes.

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If a team advances to the knockout stage without winning a game in the group stage, then wins their round of 32 match on penalties, would that count? That match would be considered a draw for international ranking purposes