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What price will the S&P500 hit by end of April 2026?

Will S&P 500 increase in 2026?

67% chance

S&P 500 up 100% in 2026?

2% chance

S&P500 closing price end of April 2026?

Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026?

Will the S&P 500 close up or down by more than 5% in a day in 2026?

50% chance

2026 U.S. Stock Market: How will the S&P500 performance in 2026?

Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 20% in one day in 2026, 2027, 2028 or 2029?

15% chance

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@traders trade on end of year price: https://manifold.markets/Jack1/sp-500-closing-price-on-dec-31-2026?r=SmFjazE

@traders trade on Monday: https://manifold.markets/Jack1/sp500-up-or-down-on-monday-23-march?r=SmFjazE

opened a Ṁ1,500 NO at 10% order

@traders limit order up at 90%

bought Ṁ50 NO

Traders will be looking at the weekend and thinking: right, I won't be able to trade for over 60 hours. What could possibly go wrong over three nights and two days? How many oil tankers will become fish habitat by Monday? what other energy infrastructure could experience rapid unplanned disassembly? Might an Iranian terror cell pop into action in the continental USA? Hmm, maybe I might just trim my exposure a touch, here, here, and here.