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MANIFOLD
Graham Platner to win Primary and General for 2026 US Senate in Maine?
47
Ṁ1.2kṀ32k
resolved Jul 26
Resolved
NO

Resolves Yes if graham platner wins the Maine Dem Senate primary and the Maine Senate election.

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/Jack1/graham-platner-vote-percentage-in-m

New market, what percentage of the vote will he get

@SemioticRivalry want to trade?

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 42% order

@traders orderup

bought Ṁ50 NO

Would be disaster

How come this didn't start at 50%?

@AlanTennant I took 0.64 platner nom odds x 0.65 Dem win Maine odds

@AlanTennant just reading this again. Maybe you’re asking about how that works on manifold?

When you create a yes/no question you can set the starting probability between 5 and 95%. This way the liquidity is used better and you don’t have to use your mana to set up the market to the correct %. Theres a edit button next to the 50% chance on the create a question page.