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MANIFOLD
Gianni Infantino announces he is out as FIFA President before end of 2026?
116
Ṁ1kṀ29k
Dec 31
23%
chance

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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bought Ṁ50 NO

Can you please confirm that announcing that he will step down when his current term expires does NOT resolve YES?

@MachiNi As a YES holder, while I think there is blood in the water and he will not be allowed to play for time, what you describe is a palpable edge case, given that the term only has bit over a year left. Would indeed be good to have clarity from creator. @Jack1

@JussiVilleHeiskanen His term ends in March 2027.

@MachiNi Oh, I thought the general meetings were each November. A march term expiry is delicate in terms of market resolution. It seems there are two campaign strands against him ongoing. One, to get folks to rescind their letters of support for his re-election. A real campaign. Which could be considered to be relevant to this market, or it could not. Unclear. Or there is teh campaign to convene an extraordinary meeting. It isn't explicit in the wording of this market that that is what this is about.

@JussiVilleHeiskanen no, that wouldn’t resolve yes, as it wouldn’t be a resignation or firing, that is just not continuing. Thanks

What about leaving through a vote that he loses before the end of 2026, that would be equivalent to firing, would it noit?

bought Ṁ100 NO

@JussiVilleHeiskanen I think at this point, the best-case scenario for those who want him to leave is to patiently wait for him to step aside in March.

@MachiNi I would have disagreed until Trump decided he wasn't refusing to return Gianni's calls anymore.