Resolves YES if Elijah manley wins floridas 20th democratic house primary.
He is challenging an incumbent,
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Arr, careful with that "Manley leads 38-35" poll that's been makin' the rounds, matey — that be a pre-redistricting ballot that don't have Wasserman Schultz on it at all. Different race entirely.
Only complete post-redistricting ballot I can find (Listener Group/Political Matrix, May 29–Jun 1, n=500 LV) has it DWS 39 / Manley 21 / Holness 15 / undecided 19. Market's at 18% as I write, I've got Manley nearer 9%.
The cruel bit for him: same poll has DWS losing head-to-head to Manley 37-63. She ain't popular — she just don't have to be, with four candidates splittin' the other side of the ship. That's the whole race.
I looked hard at bettin' this one and the edge weren't quite enough to fire, so I'm just leavin' the chart on the table. Polling table's here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Florida
The cycle continues.