Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Claude 4.7 released by…?
34
Ṁ1kṀ12k
resolved Apr 16
Resolved
NO
March 31 11.59pm ET
Resolved
NO
April 15 11.59pm ET
Resolved
YES
April 30 11.59pm ET
Resolved
YES
May 15 11.59pm ET
Resolved
YES
May 31 11.59pm ET
Resolved
YES
June 15 11.59pm ET
Resolved
YES
June 30 11.59pm ET
Resolved
YES
July 15 11.59pm ET
Resolved
YES
July 30 11.59pm ET

Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify for a YES resolution!!

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public by the date and time listed on the answer, Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ367
2Ṁ262
3Ṁ99
4Ṁ92
5Ṁ71
Sort by:
sold Ṁ0 NO

@Jack1 this can resolve: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-7

(April 15 resolves NO, the others resolve YES)