Resolution criteria

As of February 2026, Claude 5 has not been announced yet. This market resolves YES if Anthropic publicly releases a model officially named "Claude 5" (including variants like Claude 5 Sonnet or Claude 5 Opus) that is accessible to the general public via API or product before June 1, 2026. The model must be available without invitation-only access or closed beta restrictions. Resolution will be determined by checking Anthropic's official announcements and product availability on their website and API platforms.

Background

The newest official model is Claude Sonnet 4.6, released February 17, 2026. Claude Sonnet 5 launched Feb 3, 2026, featuring a 1M context window, $3/1M token pricing, and a record 82.1% SWE-Bench score. However, Sonnet 5 is a mid-tier model variant, not the full Claude 5 release. Claude 5 is expected in Q2-Q3 2026 (roughly May-September 2026) based on Anthropic's release patterns and industry sources.

Considerations

Anthropic doesn't play by a calendar—they ship when the model is ready. The distinction between Claude 5 Sonnet (already released) and a full Claude 5 flagship release matters for this market. Anthropic has historically released models in multiple tiers (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus), so a complete Claude 5 family rollout may take longer than individual tier releases.

This description was generated by AI.