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MANIFOLD
How many stages will Tadej Pogacar win in the 2026 Tour de France?
3
Ṁ450Ṁ155
Jul 26
8%
1
16%
2
22%
3
22%
4
18%
5
15%
6+

Resolution criteria

  • This market will resolve based on the official final classifications of the 2026 Tour de France (July 4 – July 26, 2026).

  • The winning option will be determined by the total number of individual stage victories officially credited to Tadej Pogačar during the race.

  • Individual stage wins will be verified using the Official Tour de France Results or ProCyclingStats.

  • Only individual stage wins count. Team Time Trials (such as Stage 1) do not count toward Pogačar's individual total unless he is the first rider across the line and officially credited with the stage win.

  • If Pogačar finishes the Tour with 6 or more stage wins, the market resolves to 6+.

  • The market will resolve once the final stage (Stage 21) is completed on July 26, 2026, and the official daily results are published. Any subsequent disqualifications or adjustments made after July 26, 2026, will not be factored into the resolution.

Background

  • Tadej Pogačar (UAE Team Emirates) is competing in the 113th edition of the Tour de France, which runs from July 4 to July 26, 2026.

  • Pogačar has already secured 1 stage win in this edition, taking the victory on Stage 3 at Les Angles on July 6, 2026. Because of this, the minimum number of stage wins he can finish with is 1.

  • Historically, Pogačar has been highly prolific in Grand Tour stages, winning 6 stages during the 2024 Tour de France and 3 stages in the 2020, 2021, and 2022 editions.

Market context
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