This market predicts whether the United Kingdom's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the year 2025 will exceed 1%, assuming the Labor Party is in power. The outcome will be determined using the official real GDP growth rate for the UK, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS), for the calendar year 2025.
The market will resolve as "Yes" if:
The Labor Party is in power for the majority of the year 2025, and
The officially reported real GDP growth rate for the UK in 2025 is greater than 1%.
The market will resolve as "No" if:
The Labor Party is in power for the majority of the year 2025, or
The officially reported real GDP growth rate for the UK in 2025 is 1% or less.
The question will be resolved as N/A if labor loses majority.
Resolution will occur once the ONS releases the official real GDP growth rate for the year 2025, typically in the first quarter of 2026.
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