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How low will 30 year fixed rate mortgage rates get in 2024?
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4
Ṁ204Dec 31
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1W
1M
ALL
15%
Higher than 6.5%
54%
6.0-6.5%
34%
5.5-6.0%
24%
5.0-5.5%
12%
Lower than 5.0%
I will resolve this based on St. Louis Fed data - https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US
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@DavidFWatson Does linked mean that a trader can only bet on one outcome? If so, why shouldn't someone be able to bet on a range wider than 0.5 percentage points if they think that the total probability for the wider range is wrong?
@JeffLobo no, it means that only one can resolve to true. And I think I used the wrong term anyway. "How many answers will be chosen", for this it should be "only one"
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