Will a SpaceX starship achieve orbit in 2024?
19
1kṀ2244resolved Dec 26
Resolved
N/A1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
At least one revolution around planet earth.
Update 2024-25-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Criteria Update:
Achieving orbital altitude during test flights will be considered as fulfilling the market's resolution criteria, even if a full revolution around Earth was not completed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship in 2025?
24% chance
Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
25% chance
SpaceX Starship Orbit in 2023? (No) → SpaceX Mars Mission by 2030?
30% chance
Will SpaceX launch a Starship to Mars by the end of 2026?
12% chance