Automated metamarket. Resolves automatically after 24 hours based on real-world data.
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@mods I think the bot might be classifying incorrectly. In the last 24 hours the USD did not strengthen the market but it did after markets opened today in the USA.
It would be good to have these sorts of markets specify exact time and data source.
@KingAK Do you have specific price info? I asked Claude to pull price data and market creation / close timestamps and this is what I got:
โ Verdict: YES resolution is correct
Using hourly candle data from Twelve Data:
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโฌโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโฌโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
โ โ Timestamp โ USD/JPY range (hourly candle) โ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโผโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโผโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโค
โ Market created โ Feb 19, 20:36 UTC โ 154.78 โ 154.97 โ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโผโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโผโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโค
โ Market closed โ Feb 20, 20:36 UTC โ 155.38 โ 155.64 โ
โโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโดโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโดโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโโ
Even in the worst case (highest possible start rate vs lowest possible end rate), USD/JPY moved from 154.97 โ 155.38, a gain of +0.41 JPY (+0.27%). The two
ranges don't even overlap โ USD was unambiguously stronger 24 hours later.
The best estimate is roughly 154.87 โ 155.51, or about +0.64 JPY (+0.41%).
The resolution is not a close call. USD strengthened against JPY over that 24-hour window by any reasonable measurement.