🏅 Top traders

gdi i wish this was more liquid could have made bank should have waited longer

@inerati yeah, I think you could've probably made a couple thousand with some patience.

inside information is invaluable, the quintessential manifold example is this market where a letter came out literally one day before the deadline and a couple people knew beforehand and made bank.

https://manifold.markets/quinesweeper/will-there-be-another-wellrecognize

Will there be another well-recognized letter/statement on AI risk by May 31, 2023?

Resolved YES. Resolves YES if there is a similar letter as the Pause Letter released by the Future of Life Institute by end of May 2023. Resolves NO otherwise. We'll call it well-recognized if it gets signed by at least 10 big public figureheads in AI, and at least one Turing award winner. It may address any sorts of risks from powerful AI.

@SemioticRivalry the problem was it was so illiquid that i couldnd't bet much of anything without it flying up to 100%. although i suppose i should have waited a while

@inerati yeah, you could've set a limit at 50% for 1000 and people probably would've filled it, and then played the trump card in a few days

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wojciech_Kopczuk

That's right