Will the water level in Lake Mead descend below 895 feet, cutting Las Vegas off from water, by the end of 2030? | Manifold

Will the water level in Lake Mead descend below 895 feet, cutting Las Vegas off from water, by the end of 2030?

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6

Ṁ166

2031

32%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

At the time of posting, Lake Mead's water level is 1065 feet, and the lake is 34% full.

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#Climate change

#Rivers, drought and flooding

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@IsaacMathes you'll want to extend the market's close date to 2030! Currently it closes at the end of 2023.

predicts YES

@chrisjbillington Thanks for pointing that out! Made the change.

If the water level rises again, how does this resolve? Are we betting on a drought between now and then or a permanent transformation?

predicts YES

@josharian The question resolves YES if, at any point in time between now and the end of 2030, Lake Mead's water level drops below 895 feet.

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Related questions

Will Lake Mead reach deadpool status at any point before the end of 2025?

Will the Great Salt Lake be below 4,188ft at the beginning of 2030

Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030?

Will Lake Powell dip below elevation 3,490 ft, which is “minimum power pool” prior to May 1 2025?

Will the Hetchy Hetchy aqueducts be significantly sabotaged by Dec. 2030?

Federal land ownership in Nevada is below 80% any time through 2045

Will there be a lake in the Qattara Depression by 2050?

Will Florida be underwater by 2030?

Will Miami still be above sea level in 2050?

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