Resolution criteria

This market resolves YES if Sarah Friar remains the chief financial officer of OpenAI on January 1, 2027. Resolution will be determined by official OpenAI announcements, SEC filings, or major news sources confirming her employment status on that date. If Friar departs before January 1, 2027 and is replaced, the market resolves NO. If she takes a leave of absence but retains the CFO title, the market resolves YES.

Background

Sarah Friar has been the chief financial officer of OpenAI since June 2024. She was previously CFO at Square, and also worked at Goldman Sachs, McKinsey, and Salesforce. She most recently served as CEO of Nextdoor before joining OpenAI. OpenAI hit its first $1 billion revenue month in July 2025, and the company has inked more than $1.4 trillion of infrastructure deals in recent months.

Considerations

Friar's tenure as CFO is relatively recent, having joined in mid-2024. OpenAI is navigating significant financial and operational challenges, including massive infrastructure spending commitments and ongoing restructuring discussions. Executive departures at high-growth tech companies can occur due to strategic shifts, personal reasons, or board decisions, making CFO retention uncertain over a 2+ year horizon.