Will this market's probability be 69% for at least 69% of the time it remains open?
Fun
17
42
Ṁ350
resolved Jan 17
Resolved
NO

Rounded to the nearest integer percentage, or whatever rounding scheme the graph uses.

Inspired by /Conflux/will-i-publish-my-blog-post-about-t

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ46
2Ṁ33
3Ṁ23
4Ṁ10
5Ṁ7
5 Comments
11 Holders
28 Trades
Sort by:

Total, 30d 18h 17m 37s, 2657857s

2657857s × .69 = 1,833,921.33s

Resolve to YES if

  • ≥ 69% for ≥ 21d 5h 25m 21.33s (1833921.33s), equivalently,

  • < 69% for < 9d 12h 52m 15.67s (823935.67s).

‘Rounded to the nearest integer percentage, or whatever rounding scheme the graph uses.’

predicted YES

Ok fine, here's one where 0% isn't the only stable point.

predicted YES

Aww. That's no fun guys.

sold Ṁ10 of NO

@IsaacKing Good point

Related in Fun

See more Fun questions

More related questions