Similar, but with longer timeframe: https://manifold.markets/BenjaminIkuta/will-this-market-stay-at-or-above-9?r=QmVuamFtaW5Ja3V0YQ

Well, it can resolve now

@AllanLacy Technically Isaac didn't say it would resolve at market close. If the whale comes in 1 minute before end, and Isaac doesn't resolve until 2 hours later, then it would resolve yes

@Mqrius That would be a really good thing to get clarification on.

@Mqrius is Isaac that evil?

Only counts time spent open.

@AllanLacy Not in my experience, that's why I sold my Yes :D

@IsaacKing Well, fingers crossed that we have some really dumb whales, then.

@Duncn I bet they didn't become whales by being dumb

Except that one guy who always votes random things to 90% and gets all his mana from buying it

@AllanLacy You should all sell your NO positions before it closes. Just saying.

Instructions unclear, sold my Yes position

@NicoDelon Why?

@Duncn Why not

@NicoDelon That's not how 'should' statements work.

@Duncn I think you missed the joke

@NicoDelon Yes; hence the question. I have a good prediction of the joke now, though, if you don't want to explain.

@NicoDelon https://open.spotify.com/track/0AeKnVYhLreR9aWskeFjSg

There is something fishy going on under the hood.

90% is too high do it is very hard to hold. Seems very unlikely

@ValeryCherepanov yes yes, very unlikely

I'm not sure why some people are still buying YES within 1 hour of close. The description says "Goes by the probability displayed on the graph", and the graph stops updating at close. Doesn't that imply that if it gets bet up to 90% at the last second, and Isaac waits (e.g.) 2 hours before resolving, it would still have to resolve NO?

@JimHays The market doesn't close for another 24.5 hours.

@IsaacKing Ah, I got the date wrong. Thanks!