Will this market reach 200 traders by the end of 2023?
211
2K
2.9K
resolved Nov 9
Resolved
YES

Get Ṁ200 play money

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ1,047
2Ṁ502
3Ṁ403
4Ṁ333
5Ṁ328
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predicted YES

same market but with more liquidity (10k) and 8 traders to go!

sold Ṁ48 of NO

Nice! Where'd the sudden influx of traders come from?

2 traders bought Ṁ7,370 YES
bought Ṁ7,360 of YES

@IsaacKing Don't worry about it daddy, let's just get this resolved.

bought Ṁ1,000 of YES

@IsaacKing Why haven't you resolved it yet?

bought Ṁ5 YES at 99.6%
predicted YES

@IsaacKing Manifold algorithm

PROOF

captain obvious hotels.com GIF

bought Ṁ14,000 of YES

resolves YES

predicted YES

@jacksonpolack Damn! Nice win.

@IsaacKing Time to resolve.

bought Ṁ1 of YES

Done.

Let's make this one happen - I'm boosting it!

@A i always see you put limit orders in such markets. Can you or someone explain to me how you guys calculate amount of mana to bet on limit orders and how to divide it etc etc, and on which markets limit orders do make sense

@Messi I like to put limit orders on markets where people often get overconfident and bet so much that it creates an incentive for someone to manipulate the opposite direction. If you put limit at 1%/99% it's very low risk for large possible return. The amount just depends how much you are willing to risk if things don't go as planned.

@A thanks for knowledge!

@A But if it reaches 99%, I would think that might very well be because the resolution criteria has already happened.

@BenjaminIkuta so they exit market as NO equalizies the YES. They exit at 99 instead of waiting for 100

@Messi Ah, I misunderstood. The limit at 99 is to close out the position? That makes sense.

@BenjaminIkuta Yes that is a risk. This specific market probably isn't great to put NO limit orders for that reason, unless you already have YES shares.

these are banned

bought Ṁ30 of NO

@BowTrix I think they will just get de-ranked, so they don't show up in search, I don't think banned is quite the correct term.

@MichaelRobertson I saw this under related markets.