Will there be an S-risk before 2100 that leaves this market free to resolve YES in a meaningful way? | Manifold

Will there be an S-risk before 2100 that leaves this market free to resolve YES in a meaningful way?

Plus

137

Ṁ1258

2100

6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suffering_risks

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#Existential Risk

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predicts NO

I'm noticing that "resolve in a meaningful way" does not necessarily mean "resolve in an honest way"; incorrect market resolutions could theoretically be one way to torment people...

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