🏅 Top traders

YES average: M$579.36

NO average: M$365

@RICHARDZHU damn

@amzoeee 😂

@RICHARDZHU smh my head

it all depends on the whales, yes gives more profit though

@RICHARDZHU the average aspect increases the amount of mana you'd have to spend to sway the market, and thus the amount of mana you'd have to spend on yes to secure the market for yes.

as a note, the average for yes is approx. 132 and the average for no is approx. 119

@cloe ie try to hold 120+ no shares and don't hold <100 no shares

@cloe also: yes is at ~171 while no is at ~219 (therefore, betting yes requires you to push the average over 220 + spend a ton of mana, but betting no lets you spend less and still profit!)

@cloe oh wait, yes is ~162

The whales are busy on https://manifold.markets/Conflux/will-the-average-probability-of-thi, this is the whale-able market of the retail traders!

Current average for YES is M$83.4, average for NO is M$120.5, so NO is winning so far.

Feels like a strategy is to pile on low-stakes on NO, bait whales to jump on YES, and then enthusiastically board the YES ship as it's leaving

My comment metadata ("bought M1 of YES") is a bit misleading, I believe I presently hold M1 in NO, but I clicked the wrong button initially

Is this one of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions?