So far, I've created 5 markets in the Change My Mind group, where people express a belief and promise to resolve the market based on whether they change that belief. Then other people can try to change their mind in order to make the market resolve differently and turn a profit.

A side effect of these is that they can change other people's minds! I just had a good discussion about market ending times here, where @finnhambly tried to change my mind and I ended up changing theirs instead. Will this happen 9 more times?

In order to qualify, the person must have engaged with me in a prior good-faith discussion of non-negligible length, and then announced a significant update that brings them closer to my previously-espoused beliefs on the topic. (And I must believe such announcement was made honestly.)

Any future "Change My Mind" markets I make will also count towards this. If it hasn't happened by the end of 2023, this resolves to NO.