Market resolves if/when I:
Make a bet with someone on social media whom I do not know as someone I can trust.
We do not use escrow.
They use their real identity, and live in a country that works with the US or Canadian legal system to a level that makes it possible in theory for me to sue them for my winnings.
They lose the bet.
If they pay up without legal action, resolves YES. If not, resolves NO. Market is about the next bet to resolve, not the next one to be made.
@IsaacKing The thing that just occurred to me is maybe he's either having a literal manic episode or just generally being crazy and in 2027 he'll be back to normal, and probably then has enough money that he might pay out out of a sense of honor
@jacksonpolack Arguably in that case I should release him, but IDK, I was gonna donate it to charity anyway. He can easily afford it I'm sure.
@IsaacKing This one went though, we agreed to a 10k bet. So if he loses that can resolve this market.